Report gathered yesterday that, Kevin, Charlyn & Kimberly Associates, a UK based research and political risk consultancy firm has stated that incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan of the Peoples Democratic Party will win the 2015 Presidential Election with a margin of 13 per cent (probability).
The group which used both ‘monkey survey’ and ‘Political Risk Index’ to forecast the Nigerian election projected a Jonathan’s win if everything remains constant.
In a statement by Mr. O.C Vince, the Vice President of the firm for West Africa while addressing a press conference today in Abuja, explained that the firm has no partisan interest in the outcome of the election which is left for the people of Nigeria to decide. The company said it decided to conduct the survey because of the general global interest the Nigeria election has generated. ‘Many people around the world, including political leaders and investors are focusing on Nigeria to see how the process of democracy is managed’. Mr. Vince said the ruling Peoples Democratic Party appear to be facing its toughest challenge in 16 years and hoped the efforts they have made will help deepen and strengthen democracy in Nigeria and enable the different contending parties manage their final push toward 2015.
We randomly conducted a nationwide opinion poll focusing on the six geo-political regions of Nigeria: North East, North West, North Central, South West, South East and South- South. The sampled population were asked three questions centering on human rights, the economy and security: